Language:English
Gillingham v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -0.027%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%25.27%25.14%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.753.9529.41%26.86%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 47.71%2.10fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.36%47.77%47.79%49.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.43%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV +0.104%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%26.96%27.07%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.353.7133.33%29.67%29.85%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 25.31%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 47.71%; Draw: 26.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.706. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.710, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.104%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV +0.104%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.86%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -5.85%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:47 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.42%EV -3.06%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -10.15%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -13.17%E -7.24%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -15.01%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |