مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gillingham v Grimsby Town

البداية: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gillingham (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.31%3.95السعر العادل
EV -0.027%
الأفضلية -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.30%25.27%25.14%26.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.723.753.9529.41%26.86%26.67%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grimsby Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.71%2.10السعر العادل
EV -4.58%
الأفضلية -2.29%
Kelly -4.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.36%47.77%47.79%49.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.43%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.98%3.71السعر العادل
EV +0.104%
الأفضلية +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.64%26.96%27.07%28.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.353.7133.33%29.67%29.85%26.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV +0.104%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.86%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -5.85%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:47
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.42%EV -3.06%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -10.15%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -13.17%E -7.24%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -15.01%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 13:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%4.7%2026-04-18 14:00