L’École des cotes

Gillingham v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV -0.027%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%25.27%25.14%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.753.9529.41%26.86%26.67%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.71%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.36%47.77%47.79%49.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.43%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV +0.104%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.64%26.96%27.07%28.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.353.7133.33%29.67%29.85%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV +0.104%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.86%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -5.85%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:47
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.42%EV -3.06%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -10.15%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -13.17%E -7.24%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -15.01%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%4.7%2026-04-18 14:00