La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gillingham v Grimsby Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 25.31%3.95momio equitativo
EV -0.027%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.30%25.27%25.14%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.723.753.9529.41%26.86%26.67%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grimsby Town (Visitante)
Predicción 47.71%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.36%47.77%47.79%49.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.43%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV +0.104%
Ventaja +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%26.96%27.07%28.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.353.7133.33%29.67%29.85%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV +0.104%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.86%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -5.85%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:47 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.42%EV -3.06%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -10.15%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -2.56%E -0.665%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -13.17%E -7.24%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.35%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -7.92%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -15.01%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |