Language:English
Gillingham v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.98%26.01%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.503.8030.30%28.19%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 47.49%2.11fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.93%47.44%47.44%48.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.951.952.0252.91%51.18%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +0.583%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%26.58%26.55%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.483.8031.25%29.04%28.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 26.04%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 47.49%; Draw: 26.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.583%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV +0.583%E +0.153%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.06%E -0.558%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.39%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.14%EV -5.72%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -3.92%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 02:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 14:02 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.25%E -5.42%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 05:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 09:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 02:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 05:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-16 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.03%E -0.271%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 07:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |