L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Gillingham v Bristol Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Gillingham 3–0 Bristol Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 26.04%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.271%
Kelly -0.368%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%25.98%26.01%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.503.8030.30%28.19%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.49%2.11cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.93%47.44%47.44%48.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.951.952.0252.91%51.18%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.583%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.208%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.54%26.58%26.55%28.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.443.483.8031.25%29.04%28.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gillingham (Local) : 26.04% ; Bristol Rovers (Visiteur) : 47.49% ; Match nul : 26.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.583%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV +0.583%E +0.153%K +0.208%G +0.001%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.06%E -0.558%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 14:01
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.39%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.14%EV -5.72%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -3.92%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 02:20
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 08:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 04:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 04:09
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 14:02
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:09
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.25%E -5.42%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 05:05
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 09:14
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 09:15
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:10
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 12:39
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 02:25
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 08:30
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 02:10
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 05:05
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:13
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 13:05
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 02:26
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 08:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 08:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 05:11
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:15
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.03%E -0.271%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 07:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%0.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-18 15:30