A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Gillingham v Bristol Rovers

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Gillingham 3–0 Bristol Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gillingham (Local)

Previsão 26.04%3.84odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.271%
Kelly -0.368%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.18%25.98%26.01%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.553.503.8030.30%28.19%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.49%2.11odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -4.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.93%47.44%47.44%48.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.951.952.0252.91%51.18%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.47%3.78odd justa
EV +0.583%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.208%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.54%26.58%26.55%28.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.443.483.8031.25%29.04%28.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gillingham (Local): 26.04%; Bristol Rovers (Visitante): 47.49%; Empate: 26.47%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.78. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.583%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV +0.583%E +0.153%K +0.208%G +0.001%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.06%E -0.558%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 14:01
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.39%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.14%EV -5.72%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -3.92%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 02:20
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 08:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 04:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 04:09
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 14:02
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:09
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -10.25%E -5.42%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 05:05
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 09:14
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 09:15
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:10
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 12:39
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 02:25
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 08:30
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 02:10
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 05:05
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:13
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 13:05
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 02:26
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 08:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 08:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.35%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 05:11
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:15
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 12:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 14:55
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.03%E -0.271%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 07:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%0.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-18 15:30