Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.86%49.27%49.06%52.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.881.9556.50%53.37%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV +5.42%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%23.76%24.15%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.854.4027.03%25.65%25.97%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.92%3.72fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.97%26.79%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.493.6030.30%29.10%28.65%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 49.12%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 23.96%; Draw: 26.92%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +5.42%E +1.23%K +1.60%G +0.087% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 11:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.08%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.55%EV -3.68%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -3.37%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.64%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 10:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -12.07%E -6.74%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 05:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |