Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 2–0 Shrewsbury Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 49.12%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.86%49.27%49.06%52.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.871.881.9556.50%53.37%53.19%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV +5.42%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%23.76%24.15%24.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.854.4027.03%25.65%25.97%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%26.97%26.79%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.443.493.6030.30%29.10%28.65%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fleetwood Town (Local) : 49.12% ; Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur) : 23.96% ; Match nul : 26.92%. Pour Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +5.42%E +1.23%K +1.60%G +0.087%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:14
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:29
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 11:33
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.08%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.55%EV -3.68%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -3.37%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:15
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 07:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.64%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:38
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:33
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:07
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -12.07%E -6.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 11:34
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 06:54
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 17:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 07:50
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 07:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 05:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-09-04 13:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05