Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town

Início: 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC

Final: Fleetwood Town 2–0 Shrewsbury Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -4.21%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.86%49.27%49.06%52.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.871.881.9556.50%53.37%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Previsão 23.96%4.17odd justa
EV +5.42%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%23.76%24.15%24.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.903.854.4027.03%25.65%25.97%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.92%3.72odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%26.97%26.79%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.443.493.6030.30%29.10%28.65%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fleetwood Town (Local): 49.12%; Shrewsbury Town (Visitante): 23.96%; Empate: 26.92%. Para Shrewsbury Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.17. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +5.42%E +1.23%K +1.60%G +0.087%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:14
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:29
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -1.76%E -0.430%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 11:33
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.08%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.55%EV -3.68%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.37%EV -3.37%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:15
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 07:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.64%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:38
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:33
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:07
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.02%EV -12.07%E -6.74%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 11:34
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 06:54
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 17:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 07:50
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 07:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 05:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-09-04 13:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 13:05