Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 55.35%1.81fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%55.23%55.29%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7562.11%59.06%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%19.98%19.91%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.605.0024.39%22.16%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%24.79%24.80%27.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.713.704.0031.25%26.99%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 55.35%; Newport County (Visit): 19.90%; Draw: 24.76%. For Newport County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.511%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.21%E -0.560%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.33%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.53%EV -5.09%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-25 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.42%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -20.78%E -6.49%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.975%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.89%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.65% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |