La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fleetwood Town v Newport County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Predicción 55.35%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -4.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.42%55.23%55.29%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.691.7562.11%59.06%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newport County (Visitante)
Predicción 19.90%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.511%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.83%19.98%19.91%22.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.514.605.0024.39%22.16%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.76%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.975%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%24.79%24.80%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.713.704.0031.25%26.99%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:37 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.21%E -0.560%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.33%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.53%EV -5.09%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-25 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.42%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -20.78%E -6.49%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.975%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.89%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.65% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |