L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 55.35%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.42%55.23%55.29%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.691.7562.11%59.06%59.17%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.90%5.03cote équitable
EV -0.511%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.83%19.98%19.91%22.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.514.605.0024.39%22.16%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.76%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.975%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%24.79%24.80%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.704.0031.25%26.99%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:40
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:37
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 02:39
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 02:39
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 02:39
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 02:39
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 04:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 07:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 07:59
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.21%E -0.560%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:00
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.33%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 15:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.53%EV -5.09%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 15:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:01
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.42%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -20.78%E -6.49%K -9.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-26 11:29
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:04
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:00
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.975%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 14:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.89%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.65%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-02-28 14:15