语言:简体中文
Fleetwood Town v Newport County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fleetwood Town (主队)
预测 55.35%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -4.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
52.42%55.23%55.29%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.691.691.7562.11%59.06%59.17%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newport County (客队)
预测 19.90%5.03公平赔率
EV -0.511%
优势 -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.83%19.98%19.91%22.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.514.605.0024.39%22.16%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.76%4.04公平赔率
EV -0.975%
优势 -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.44%24.79%24.80%27.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.713.704.0031.25%26.99%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fleetwood Town (主队)：55.35%；Newport County (客队)：19.90%；平局：24.76%。 对于“Newport County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.00，期望值为-0.511%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -3.50%E -0.721%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.21%E -0.560%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.33%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.53%EV -5.09%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-25 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.511%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.42%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -20.78%E -6.49%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.91%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.975%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.89%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.49%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.65% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |