Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.29%43.11%44.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.82%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%29.82%29.77%30.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.2033.33%32.19%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.89%27.12%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.6730.77%29.33%29.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 43.16%; Walsall (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 27.04%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.67, with an expected value of -0.770%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.31%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.94%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -5.91%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:10
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:18
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:59
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 19:05
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.14%EV -8.06%E -3.78%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.23%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.62%EV -0.770%E -0.210%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.49%EV -8.06%E -3.78%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -5.91%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.49%E -4.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -8.92%E -4.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.66%E -0.740%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.03%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 19:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.03%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:59
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 19:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.51%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 42.72%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%17.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 20.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.64%142.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 20.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.64%142.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 20.48%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.18%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.34%145.4%2026-08-29 18:50