Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.01
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 41.28%; Walsall (Visit): 31.80%; Draw: 26.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -3.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.15%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.85%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.23%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.53%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -8.77%E -3.97%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -9.83%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |