Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Crewe Alexandra 2–2 Walsall

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 41.28%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.16%41.27%41.24%42.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.242.252.3346.51%44.60%44.44%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.80%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.30%31.88%31.82%33.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.0136.36%34.47%34.48%33.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.85%26.94%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.47%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crewe Alexandra (Local) : 41.28% ; Walsall (Visiteur) : 31.80% ; Match nul : 26.92%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -3.10% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.15%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.85%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:19
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.23%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:54
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 06:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 06:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:49
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 06:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 06:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 14:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.53%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -8.77%E -3.97%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -9.83%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 05:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 02:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 06:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-01 18:35