Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Crewe Alexandra 2–2 Walsall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Previsão 41.28%2.42odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.16%41.27%41.24%42.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.252.3346.51%44.60%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Walsall (Visitante)

Previsão 31.80%3.14odd justa
EV -4.27%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.30%31.88%31.82%33.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.902.903.0136.36%34.47%34.48%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.92%3.72odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%26.85%26.94%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.47%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 41.28%; Walsall (Visitante): 31.80%; Empate: 26.92%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -3.10%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.15%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.85%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:19
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.82%E -1.64%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.23%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.68%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:54
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 06:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 06:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:49
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 06:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 06:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.10%E -0.862%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 14:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.53%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -8.77%E -3.97%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -9.83%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 05:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 02:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.42%E -4.80%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -13.87%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 06:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-01 18:35