Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%30.55%30.55%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.09%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 42.19%2.37fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.29%42.21%42.16%43.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.57%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.706%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.24%27.29%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 30.55%; Salford City (Visit): 42.19%; Draw: 27.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 08:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |