StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crewe Alexandra v Salford City

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crewe Alexandra (Hemma)

Prognos 30.55%3.27rättvist odds
EV -2.25%
Fördel -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.17%30.55%30.55%31.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.09%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Borta)

Prognos 42.19%2.37rättvist odds
EV -5.08%
Fördel -2.26%
Kelly -4.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.29%42.21%42.16%43.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.57%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.27%3.67rättvist odds
EV -1.83%
Fördel -0.510%
Kelly -0.706%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.02%27.24%27.29%29.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Crewe Alexandra (Hemma): 30.55%; Salford City (Borta): 42.19%; Oavgjort: 27.27%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.67. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -1.83%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:49
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 09:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 08:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 08:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 10:30
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-06 13:50