La escuela de los momios

Crewe Alexandra v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.17%30.55%30.55%31.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.09%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 42.19%2.37momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -4.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.29%42.21%42.16%43.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.57%45.45%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.706%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.02%27.24%27.29%29.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:49
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 09:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 08:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 08:59
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 10:30
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-06 13:50