L’École des cotes

Crewe Alexandra v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 30.55%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%30.55%30.55%31.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.09%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.19%2.37cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.29%42.21%42.16%43.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.57%45.45%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.706%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.02%27.24%27.29%29.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:30
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:49
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 09:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:59
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 09:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -1.83%E -0.510%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 08:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 08:59
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 10:30
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -8.46%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.45%EV -8.03%E -3.69%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.02%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-06 13:50