La scuola delle quote

Crawley Town v Swindon Town

Inizio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Crawley Town (Casa)

Previsione 29.25%3.42quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -0.963%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.60%29.24%29.26%30.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.153.123.3133.33%31.77%32.05%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Swindon Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.83%2.23quota equa
EV -5.85%
Vantaggio -2.79%
Kelly -5.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.48%44.86%44.76%46.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.052.052.1052.36%48.69%48.78%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.92%3.86quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.537%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.46%25.90%25.99%27.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.533.503.8032.26%28.30%28.57%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -3.19%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.59%EV -6.30%E -3.02%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:49
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:46
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.80%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:39
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -1.50%E -0.395%K -0.537%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -6.70%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:33
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.44%E -4.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:49
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.37%E -7.52%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.68%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.6%2026-03-07 14:49