La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Crawley Town v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crawley Town (Local)
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -0.963%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.60%29.24%29.26%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.153.123.3133.33%31.77%32.05%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 44.83%2.23momio equitativo
EV -5.85%
Ventaja -2.79%
Kelly -5.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%44.86%44.76%46.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1052.36%48.69%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.537%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.90%25.99%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.503.8032.26%28.30%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -3.19%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.59%EV -6.30%E -3.02%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:46 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.80%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -1.50%E -0.395%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -6.70%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.44%E -4.67%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.37%E -7.52%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.68% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |