L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Swindon Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 29.25%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -0.963%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.60%29.24%29.26%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.153.123.3133.33%31.77%32.05%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.83%2.23cote équitable
EV -5.85%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -5.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.86%44.76%46.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1052.36%48.69%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.537%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.90%25.99%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.503.8032.26%28.30%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -3.19%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.59%EV -6.30%E -3.02%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:49
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:46
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.80%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:39
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -1.50%E -0.395%K -0.537%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -6.70%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:33
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.44%E -4.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:49
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.37%E -7.52%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.68%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.6%2026-03-07 14:49