مدرسة الاحتمالات

Crawley Town v Swindon Town

البداية: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Crawley Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.25%3.42السعر العادل
EV -3.19%
الأفضلية -0.963%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.60%29.24%29.26%30.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.153.123.3133.33%31.77%32.05%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Swindon Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.83%2.23السعر العادل
EV -5.85%
الأفضلية -2.79%
Kelly -5.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.48%44.86%44.76%46.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.052.1052.36%48.69%48.78%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.92%3.86السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.395%
Kelly -0.537%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.46%25.90%25.99%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.533.503.8032.26%28.30%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -3.19%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.59%EV -6.30%E -3.02%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:49
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:46
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.80%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:39
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -1.50%E -0.395%K -0.537%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -6.70%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:33
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.44%E -4.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:49
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 29.37%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -7.20%E -3.48%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -8.54%E -4.19%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.37%E -7.52%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.68%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.6%2026-03-07 14:49