Language:English
Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 49.39%2.02fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.92%49.30%49.48%50.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9555.56%53.16%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +0.762%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%24.20%24.06%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.754.2527.78%26.23%26.67%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.721%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.51%26.46%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.07%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 49.39%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 24.11%; Draw: 26.50%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV +2.48%E +0.583%K +0.762%G +0.019% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.12%E -5.56%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -1.14%E -0.278%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.20%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -2.35%E -0.579%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.78%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.14%E -4.38%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.18%E -2.70%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.52%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.99%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |