L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Crawley Town 0–0 Shrewsbury Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 49.39%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.92%49.30%49.48%50.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.891.9555.56%53.16%52.91%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.11%4.15cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.583%
Kelly +0.762%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%24.20%24.06%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.754.2527.78%26.23%26.67%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.50%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.721%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.51%26.46%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.07%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV +2.48%E +0.583%K +0.762%G +0.019%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.12%E -5.56%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -1.14%E -0.278%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.20%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -2.35%E -0.579%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.78%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.14%E -4.38%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.18%E -2.70%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:58
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.52%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.99%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-18 14:00