La scuola delle quote

Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Finale: Crawley Town 0–0 Shrewsbury Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Crawley Town (Casa)

Previsione 49.39%2.02quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.92%49.30%49.48%50.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.891.9555.56%53.16%52.91%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shrewsbury Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.11%4.15quota equa
EV +2.48%
Vantaggio +0.583%
Kelly +0.762%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.00%24.20%24.06%25.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.813.754.2527.78%26.23%26.67%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.50%3.77quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.526%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.03%26.51%26.46%28.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.07%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV +2.48%E +0.583%K +0.762%G +0.019%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.12%E -5.56%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -1.14%E -0.278%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.20%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -2.35%E -0.579%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.78%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.14%E -4.38%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.18%E -2.70%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:58
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.52%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.99%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-04-18 14:00