La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crawley Town (Local)
Predicción 49.39%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.92%49.30%49.48%50.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.891.9555.56%53.16%52.91%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)
Predicción 24.11%4.15momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.583%
Kelly +0.762%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%24.20%24.06%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.813.754.2527.78%26.23%26.67%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.51%26.46%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.07%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV +2.48%E +0.583%K +0.762%G +0.019% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.12%E -5.56%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -1.14%E -0.278%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.20%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -2.35%E -0.579%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.55%E -0.888%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.78%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.14%E -4.38%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.18%E -2.70%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.63%E -4.67%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.52%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.99%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.65%E -4.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.20%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |