Language:English
Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 32.13%3.11fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%32.15%32.18%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.853.0036.36%35.00%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.56%41.56%41.62%42.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3446.51%44.92%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.29%26.20%27.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.43%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 32.13%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 41.54%; Draw: 26.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.64%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -5.48%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.26%E -0.337%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.59%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -6.79%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |