La escuela de los momios

Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Predicción 32.13%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%32.15%32.18%33.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.862.853.0036.36%35.00%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Predicción 41.54%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.56%41.56%41.62%42.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.232.252.3446.51%44.92%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.459%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%26.29%26.20%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.43%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.64%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:56
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:58
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -5.48%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.26%E -0.337%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.59%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -6.79%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:56
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.1%2026-02-21 15:00