L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 32.13%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.15%32.18%33.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.862.853.0036.36%35.00%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.54%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.56%41.56%41.62%42.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.232.252.3446.51%44.92%44.44%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.459%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%26.29%26.20%27.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.43%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.64%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:56
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:58
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -5.48%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.26%E -0.337%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.59%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -6.79%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:56
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.1%2026-02-21 15:00