La scuola delle quote

Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC

Inizio: 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Crawley Town (Casa)

Previsione 32.13%3.11quota equa
EV -3.60%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.10%32.15%32.18%33.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.862.853.0036.36%35.00%35.09%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chesterfield FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.54%2.41quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.56%41.56%41.62%42.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.232.252.3446.51%44.92%44.44%42.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.33%3.80quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.337%
Kelly -0.459%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.96%26.29%26.20%27.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.43%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.64%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:56
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -9.45%E -4.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.58%E -0.697%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:58
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -5.48%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.26%E -0.337%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.59%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -6.79%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:59
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:56
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.1%2026-02-21 15:00