Language:English
Colchester United v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.10%32.13%33.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.54%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.22%40.66%40.79%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.23%27.08%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.363.353.5634.72%29.78%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 32.07%; Notts County (Visit): 40.74%; Draw: 27.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -3.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.42%EV -3.21%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -7.53%E -3.32%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -21.70%E -7.53%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-22 22:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.42%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.29%EV -5.90%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 09:42 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |