La escuela de los momios

Colchester United v Notts County

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Predicción 32.07%3.12momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%32.10%32.13%33.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.54%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Notts County (Visitante)

Predicción 40.74%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.22%40.66%40.79%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.23%27.08%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.353.5634.72%29.78%29.85%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:33
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:30
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:30
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:45
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:45
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.42%EV -3.21%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:50
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -7.53%E -3.32%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 07:49
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:19
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:49
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:44
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:00
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:05
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:03
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:24
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 22:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 22:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 09:19
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 11:10
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -21.70%E -7.53%K -11.54%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 22:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.42%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.29%EV -5.90%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 09:42
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%3.8%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:40