La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Colchester United v Notts County
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Colchester United (Casa)
Previsione 32.07%3.12quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.82%32.10%32.13%33.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.54%34.48%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Notts County (Trasferta)
Previsione 40.74%2.45quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.22%40.66%40.79%41.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.19%3.68quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -0.902%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.42%27.23%27.08%29.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.363.353.5634.72%29.78%29.85%28.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:48 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.42%EV -3.21%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 07:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -7.53%E -3.32%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -21.70%E -7.53%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-22 22:24 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.42%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.29%EV -5.90%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 09:42 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |