Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 32.07%3.12cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.10%32.13%33.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.54%34.48%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.74%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.22%40.66%40.79%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.23%27.08%29.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.353.5634.72%29.78%29.85%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Colchester United (Local) : 32.07% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 40.74% ; Match nul : 27.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.56, pour une espérance de -3.21% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:33
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:48
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:45
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.42%EV -3.21%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:50
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -7.53%E -3.32%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 07:49
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:19
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:44
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:00
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:05
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:03
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 22:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 09:19
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -21.70%E -7.53%K -11.54%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 22:24
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.42%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.29%EV -5.90%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 09:42
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%3.8%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-24 02:40