Language:English
Colchester United v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 44.31%2.26fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%44.28%44.33%45.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.63%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%29.09%29.07%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.63%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.63%26.60%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.23%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 44.31%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 29.11%; Draw: 26.59%. For Colchester United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -3.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.15%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.23%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.72%E -4.23%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-07 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 06:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 06:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 08:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.50%E -5.20%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |