Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United v Crewe Alexandra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Colchester United 1–1 Crewe Alexandra

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 44.31%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.39%44.28%44.33%45.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.63%47.62%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.11%3.44cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%29.09%29.07%29.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.63%31.75%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%26.63%26.60%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.23%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Colchester United (Local) : 44.31% ; Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur) : 29.11% ; Match nul : 26.59%. Pour Colchester United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.18, pour une espérance de -3.41% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.15%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.23%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:15
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:14
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:14
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 01:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:45
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:25
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:31
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:09
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.72%E -4.23%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 06:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 06:45
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 08:09
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.50%E -5.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%3.1%2026-09-09 15:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 15:20
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%5.2%2026-09-09 17:25