Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Colchester United v Crewe Alexandra

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

20 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Colchester United (Casa)

Previsione 44.15%2.27quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.62%43.99%44.21%44.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.29%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Crewe Alexandra (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.04%3.44quota equa
EV -5.04%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.62%29.13%29.02%30.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.173.2733.33%31.69%31.50%30.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV -5.36%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.59%26.87%26.77%27.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.413.403.5330.77%29.36%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Colchester United (Casa): 44.15%; Crewe Alexandra (Trasferta): 29.04%; Pareggio: 26.81%. Per Colchester United (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.27. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.20, con un valore atteso del -2.87%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (20 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -4.20%E -1.93%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.43%E -3.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.58%EV -6.85%E -3.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.77%EV -5.04%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.65%EV -5.36%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.12%EV -6.85%E -3.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.82%EV -6.20%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -7.77%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 01:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -7.73%E -3.70%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -6.49%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.77%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.05%E -4.40%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%16.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05