Idioma:Español
Colchester United v Crewe Alexandra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Colchester United (Local)
Predicción 44.31%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.39%44.28%44.33%45.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.63%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)
Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.83%29.09%29.07%29.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.63%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.63%26.60%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.23%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Colchester United (Local): 44.31%; Crewe Alexandra (Visitante): 29.11%; Empate: 26.59%. Para Colchester United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.18, con un valor esperado de -3.41%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.15%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.23%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.72%E -4.23%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-07 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 06:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 06:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 08:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.50%E -5.20%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.94%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |