语言:简体中文
Chesterfield FC v Notts County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chesterfield FC (主队)
预测 41.45%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.25%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.31
博彩公司预测分布
40.39%41.64%41.38%45.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.09%45.45%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Notts County (客队)
预测 30.15%3.32公平赔率
EV +2.52%
优势 +0.742%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.027%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.04%29.96%30.08%31.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.173.103.4034.72%31.59%32.26%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.39%3.52公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.19%28.39%28.54%30.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.293.303.4033.33%30.39%30.30%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chesterfield FC (主队)：41.45%；Notts County (客队)：30.15%；平局：28.39%。 对于“Notts County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.32。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.40，对应+2.52%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -11.41%E -3.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -4.25%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.08%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -5.91%E -2.60%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -12.95%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |