L’École des cotes

Chesterfield FC v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 17:00 UTC

Score final : Chesterfield FC 0–1 Notts County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 41.45%2.41cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%41.64%41.38%45.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.09%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.15%3.32cote équitable
EV +2.52%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%29.96%30.08%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.103.4034.72%31.59%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.39%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.19%28.39%28.54%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.4033.33%30.39%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 08:45
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 08:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 08:45
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 08:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:05
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:03
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -11.41%E -3.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 13:03
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -4.25%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.08%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 13:05
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -5.91%E -2.60%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 08:43
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 08:44
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 08:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 13:04
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 13:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 08:44
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:04
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:04
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:39
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:04
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 13:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 08:44
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 13:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 08:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -12.95%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-10 13:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-10 13:05