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Chesterfield FC v Notts County
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chesterfield FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.45%2.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.25%
Преимущество -1.84%
Kelly -3.24%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.31
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.39%41.64%41.38%45.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.09%45.45%43.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Notts County (Гости)
Прогноз 30.15%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.52%
Преимущество +0.742%
Kelly +1.05%
Рост +0.027%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.04%29.96%30.08%31.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.173.103.4034.72%31.59%32.26%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.39%3.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.46%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.19%28.39%28.54%30.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.293.303.4033.33%30.39%30.30%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chesterfield FC (Хозяева): 41.45%; Notts County (Гости): 30.15%; Ничья: 28.39%. Для исхода «Notts County (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.32. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.52%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -11.41%E -3.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -4.25%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.08%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -5.91%E -2.60%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -12.95%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |