La escuela de los momiosChesterfield FC v Notts County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Predicción 41.45%2.41momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%41.64%41.38%45.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.09%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Notts County (Visitante)
Predicción 30.15%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%29.96%30.08%31.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.103.4034.72%31.59%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.39%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.19%28.39%28.54%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.4033.33%30.39%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.44%E -7.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -16.27%E -8.05%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +2.52%E +0.742%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -17.10%E -8.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV +1.02%E +0.303%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -11.41%E -3.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -4.25%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.08%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.32%E -2.80%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -5.91%E -2.60%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:39 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.74%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -12.95%E -6.17%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |