The School of Odds

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

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Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -6.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%54.79%54.86%56.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.651.7362%60%61%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fleetwood Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.49%5.13fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.73%19.56%19.49%20.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.334.694.605.0023%21%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.66%25.65%26.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8029%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.53%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 13:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 13:34
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.53%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 15:49
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 19:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 19:10
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -4.09%E -0.830%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 13:34
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.48%E -0.913%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.53%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 07:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.52%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 13:34
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 16:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -8.92%E -5.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 09:45
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 09:34
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 18:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.57%E -6.48%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -11.12%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 15:47
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.12%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-26 15:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -11.12%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -15.59%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-14 13:24
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -11.67%E -7.25%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 55.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%13.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:40