The School of Odds

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Chesterfield FC (Local)

Odds
1.6062.50%Min
1.6560.54%Mean
1.6361.35%Median
1.7357.80%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.23%1.879Min
56.37%1.774Max
54.83%1.824Mean
55.02%1.818Median
55.03%1.817IQM
54.80%1.825Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.73 under the IQM model: 55.03%

EV -4.79%Edge -2.77%Kelly -6.56%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Fleetwood Town (Visit)

Odds
4.5022.22%Min
4.6421.54%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
5.0020.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.90%5.292Min
20.46%4.887Max
19.66%5.087Mean
19.56%5.112Median
19.60%5.101IQM
19.65%5.089Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 19.60%

EV -1.99%Edge -0.397%Kelly -0.497%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.6027.78%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.53%4.077Min
26.31%3.801Max
25.51%3.920Mean
25.42%3.934Median
25.36%3.943IQM
25.56%3.913Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.36%

EV -3.62%Edge -0.952%Kelly -1.29%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChesterfield FC (Local) ▼Fleetwood Town (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
William Hill1.73I 57.80% NM 53.23%EV -4.79% E -2.77% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.46%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.73I 57.80% NM 53.23%EV -4.79% E -2.77% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.46%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80% NM 53.23%EV -4.79% E -2.77% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.46%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80% NM 53.23%EV -4.79% E -2.77% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.46%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:39
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82% NM 55.76%EV -6.44% E -3.79% K -9.20% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -1.99% E -0.397% K -0.497% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.28%EV -4.89% E -1.30% K -1.78% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 15:49
1xBet1.69I 59.17% NM 55.21%EV -6.99% E -4.14% K -10.13% G +0.000%4.87I 20.53% NM 19.16%EV -4.54% E -0.931% K -1.17% G +0.000%3.64I 27.47% NM 25.63%EV -7.68% E -2.11% K -2.91% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:59
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.24%EV -7.54% E -4.49% K -11.09% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.90%EV -1.99% E -0.397% K -0.497% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.86%EV -3.62% E -0.952% K -1.29% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 55.57%EV -8.09% E -4.85% K -12.08% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.94%EV -3.95% E -0.806% K -1.01% G +0.000%3.64I 27.47% NM 25.49%EV -7.68% E -2.11% K -2.91% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 11:00
Bet Right1.65I 60.61% NM 55.57%EV -9.19% E -5.57% K -14.14% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.30%EV -6.89% E -1.45% K -1.84% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.12%EV -7.42% E -2.03% K -2.80% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 15:39
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61% NM 54.84%EV -9.19% E -5.57% K -14.14% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.67%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.49%EV -9.96% E -2.81% K -3.91% G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61% NM 54.60%EV -9.19% E -5.57% K -14.14% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.02%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.38%EV -9.96% E -2.81% K -3.91% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:19
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 55.34%EV -10.29% E -6.32% K -16.34% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.61%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.06%EV -8.69% E -2.41% K -3.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 56.21%EV -10.85% E -6.69% K -17.49% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.17%EV -6.89% E -1.45% K -1.84% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.61%EV -6.15% E -1.66% K -2.28% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 15:47
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 55.10%EV -10.85% E -6.69% K -17.49% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.40%EV -9.83% E -2.14% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.50%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-26 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 53.58%EV -10.85% E -6.69% K -17.49% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.29%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.13%EV -18.84% E -5.89% K -8.56% G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-26 15:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11% NM 56.37%EV -11.40% E -7.08% K -18.68% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.11%EV -6.89% E -1.45% K -1.84% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.53%EV -6.15% E -1.66% K -2.28% G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 15:39
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50% NM 55.17%EV -11.95% E -7.47% K -19.91% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.61%EV -11.79% E -2.62% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.22%EV -11.23% E -3.21% K -4.49% G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 15:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerChesterfield FC (Local)Fleetwood Town (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:40