Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.70%51.43%51.49%53.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.56%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.40%21.74%21.68%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.204.5425.00%23.56%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.82%26.82%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.14%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 51.44%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 21.73%; Draw: 26.83%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.54, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.32%EV -2.87%E -0.641%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -1.35%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |