Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.60%52.18%52.06%53.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.781.8558.14%56.02%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Visit)

Prediction 21.24%4.71fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.392%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%21.24%21.32%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.304.6425.00%23.27%23.26%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.57%26.62%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7030.77%28.92%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chesterfield FC (Local): 52.15%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 21.24%; Draw: 26.60%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.64, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 10:13
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.59%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 10:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 19:29
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.89%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 19:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.71%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.90%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 17:39
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 17:38
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.71%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 19:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.90%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.50%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -1.43%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.09%EV -3.43%E -0.944%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:05
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.75%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:39
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.52%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.40%E -0.978%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.90%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -13.54%E -4.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 08:20
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -8.21%E -4.67%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 17:37
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.28%E -0.495%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.28%E -0.495%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:37
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.40%E -0.978%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.40%E -0.978%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 19:29
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.56%E -0.423%K -0.579%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:39
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 17:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.02%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.54%E -4.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.02%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.54%E -4.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.77%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.30%E -5.99%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.40%E -0.978%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -10.30%E -5.99%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -7.59%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-08-14 19:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-08-14 19:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%2.9%2026-08-14 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%2.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%2.9%2026-08-14 18:34

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