La escuela de los momios

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Predicción 54.86%1.82momio equitativo
EV -5.09%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -6.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.23%54.79%54.86%57.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.661.651.7362.11%60.07%60.61%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 19.49%5.13momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -0.633%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.58%19.55%19.49%20.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.694.605.0023.09%21.30%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.646%
Kelly +0.861%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.66%25.65%26.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.74%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.53%E -0.507%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +2.58%E +0.646%K +0.861%G +0.022%4.9%2026-07-26 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.53%E -0.507%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.54%E -0.670%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 07:50
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.48%E -0.915%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.54%E -0.670%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 00:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.38%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -11.13%E -6.87%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 15:47
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -11.67%E -7.25%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 15:39
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.53%E -0.507%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.43%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 13:35
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.43%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 13:34
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -7.29%E -4.31%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.82%EV -3.31%E -0.668%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:39
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -2.53%E -0.507%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:38
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 16:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 09:45
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 09:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 19:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 18:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.58%E -6.49%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.51%E -0.709%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 19:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.51%E -0.709%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 19:10
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.38%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:06
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -9.48%E -5.75%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.29%E -4.31%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 13:34
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.13%E -6.87%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.24%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-26 15:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -11.13%E -6.87%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -15.59%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-14 13:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 55.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%13.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:40