Idioma:Español
Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.70%51.43%51.49%53.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.56%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fleetwood Town (Visitante)
Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.380%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.40%21.74%21.68%22.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.244.204.5425.00%23.56%23.81%22.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.944%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.82%26.82%27.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.14%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chesterfield FC (Local): 51.44%; Fleetwood Town (Visitante): 21.73%; Empate: 26.83%. Para Fleetwood Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.60. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.54, con un valor esperado de -1.35%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.32%EV -2.87%E -0.641%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -1.35%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |