Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : Chesterfield FC 0–1 Fleetwood Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 51.44%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -4.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.70%51.43%51.49%53.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.56%55.56%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.380%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.40%21.74%21.68%22.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.244.204.5425.00%23.56%23.81%22.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.82%26.82%27.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.14%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chesterfield FC (Local) : 51.44% ; Fleetwood Town (Visiteur) : 21.73% ; Match nul : 26.83%. Pour Fleetwood Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.60. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.54, pour une espérance de -1.35% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.32%EV -2.87%E -0.641%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:45
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:14
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 05:34
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 05:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:47
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:48
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 12:43
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 05:34
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 05:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:38
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 17:45
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -1.35%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 08:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 05:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55