Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chesterfield FC v Fleetwood Town

Inizio: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Finale: Chesterfield FC 0–1 Fleetwood Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chesterfield FC (Casa)

Previsione 51.44%1.94quota equa
EV -3.81%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -4.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.70%51.43%51.49%53.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.56%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.73%4.60quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.296%
Kelly -0.380%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.40%21.74%21.68%22.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.244.204.5425.00%23.56%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.83%3.73quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -0.944%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%26.82%26.82%27.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.14%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chesterfield FC (Casa): 51.44%; Fleetwood Town (Trasferta): 21.73%; Pareggio: 26.83%. Per Fleetwood Town (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.60. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.54, con un valore atteso del -1.35%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.72%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.32%EV -2.87%E -0.641%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.62%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:45
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:14
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 05:34
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 05:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:47
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:48
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 12:43
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 05:34
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 05:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:38
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 17:45
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -1.35%E -0.296%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 08:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:20
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 05:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -2.22%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55