Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Barnet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 44.45%2.25fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%44.34%44.36%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.40%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnet (Visit)
Prediction 29.67%3.37fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%29.72%29.72%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.103.2535.09%32.69%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.94%25.92%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 44.45%; Barnet (Visit): 29.67%; Draw: 25.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.95%E -4.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.54%E -5.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.43%E -5.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.52%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.96%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.66%E -0.438%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -7.10%E -3.40%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.56%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 00:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -9.77%E -4.81%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.53%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.10%E -5.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.98%E -3.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 20:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67% | -0.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |